Disembodied wrote:It's also partly true - at least, it seems to be - of democracies. Democracies are reluctant to go to war, and to date there has never been an instance of one democracy declaring war on another democracy. If they are attacked, they appear to be very good at defending themselves: not surprising, I suppose, given that a democratic citizen has a far larger stake in their society than e.g. an imperial subject, for whom one despotic overlord may be very much the same as another.
This is favoring democracies' stability, whereas unability to war disadvantages anarchies.
Disembodied wrote:One sign that a democracy may be failing might be its increasing willingness to use force, on other peoples, and on its own. Although it should be stressed that democracies have not been around for very long, and the amount of historical information in this field is fairly scarce.
I totally concur. It's for me a sign of transformation of a democracy into an empire.
In fact, I don't think democracies scale well. What's better describing our world might be "empire with democratic tendencies, resulting of alliances of nations".
My personal detector of "empires" is the ability to impose your legislation on others; it's another way to use force, except you don't destroy the goods. Smarter way.
Currently, I see at least 4 such empires: USA, European Union, China and Russia. I wonder about India :-/
But with the current level of interconnexion, I'm not even sure there still are two empires. As capital may freely flow from an empire to another, it's finally a cooperation of legislations, with gradual homogenization.
cim wrote:the anarchy probably even more able than the democracy to organise the sort of individual and small-group guerilla warfare that conventional militaries absolutely cannot deal with
Small-group guerilla warfare works only as long as the invader is unwilling to perform a genocide. During the three last centuries, lots of genocides have happened. I think a not-anarchy system would be better equipped to survive. Japanese, for example, went from total enemies to total allies of USA to avoid genocide.
cim wrote:And democracies have a serious problem of "we've trained all these people to kill on command and in various other things which are actively counter-productive in civilian life and now don't know what to do with them", so I think the anarchy wins there too by not doing that in the first place.
I'm not sure. In a democracy, the size of the army is negligible compared to the population size ; so the problem is not threatening its stability as it would, for example, in an autocratic system.