Day wrote:Disembodied wrote:So far, democracy stands out from this tedious scrum of the most ghastly men (massively, overwhelmingly, it's men) in history in that it has regime change built in to it - regular, non-violent, and broadly accepted regime change. So far. What is of concern, presently, is that these democratic regime changes appear to be less and less meaningful. Leaders and governing parties are changing but the policies, by and large - the grand macroeconomic policies in particular - remain the same
I'd like to explicit how: it is easy for those having the means (let's say megacorps) to propose legislation changes which promote their interests. One little change at the time, the balance is skewed in favor of those. Those targeting representatives indifferently of their professed orientation (left/right/whatever), these changes never stop.
I think it important to show that the built-in processes lead there, without needing any conspiracy theory.
But additionally, in a democracy such as the northwestern European ones, the broad situation is - by historical standards - actually pretty good. No expensive wars on their own territory for a while (and sufficient stability in their neighbours too to suggest that this may continue in at least the medium-term); advanced technology; significant outsourcing of unpleasant stuff and other forms of economic exploitation to other countries whose citizens don't get a vote ... all creates a large mass of people (not necessarily a majority) who are basically happy with how things are, or at least only mildly discontented. They might be happier in a different society not practically reachable by incremental change in their lifetime ... but probably not
enough happier for it to be worth the risks of a revolution (violent or democratic) to achieve it.
(There are certainly many people to whom this doesn't apply and for whom the status quo is anything but stable and pleasant, but while they may be a majority numerically they're not all wanting things to change in the same direction, and a lot of what they might want to change isn't necessarily within the scope of government to affect)
In that situation parties promising overall stability of the status quo will generally be the winners, and things won't necessarily change much between elections even if the party in charge changes (though details not related to the overall goal of stability can vary significantly between parties)
In the case of an internal or external crisis then the "pro-stability" parties are weakened, because "no major changes" then means "more crisis", and because confidence in their ability to provide stability has been lost because they "allowed" (irrelevant, of course, whether they could actually have prevented it) the crisis. Others with different approaches can potentially take their place.
"Different approaches" could be populist power-sharing types or overt "strong leader" dictators, so it's not automatically a positive thing if things do change quickly, either.
Disembodied wrote:I'm not sanguine about the ability of contemporary democracies to successfully resist the creeping takeover by corporate interests and the super-rich
I'm not sure if that's the right way to look at it. If you think about the evolution of England's political systems (and later the UK's political systems) then there's a gradual devolution of power from an absolute monarch, through feudalism, the early "commons" parliaments consisting of the wealthy and influential non-nobility of the day, through to the abolition of the rotten boroughs and the gradual extensions of suffrage rights, to a greater number of people - but, relatively little power has actually been delegated in practical terms, and from the first acceptance that absolute monarchy was over what sharing has taken place has been grudgingly given.
I'm not sure "takeover" by the already powerful is the right way to look at it; while their personal identities may be CEOs rather than Earls, democracy largely hasn't changed that they have the majority of the "official" power.
I don't think there's a particular risk to democracy (collectively, rather than in individual nations where a military coup or the election of a dictator could occur) ending - the powerful are quite well served by "change of regime" meaning "minor adjustments and reorganisations required" rather than "risk of head on spike" for them, as well as - due to the slower pace of a democracy amending existing laws compared with a revolutionary council signing execution warrants - much more warning of the need to move.